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COMMODITIES     Tunisian and Morocco gaz (Hedge21)

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Hedge21     posted : 16/12/10   11:01 pm

A Game Changer
The DOS project is the Global Shale Gas Initiative (GSGI), launched in April to help make the United States' extensive experience in shale production available to countries around the world. The emphasis so far has been on the shale gas side - although North Africa in general, and Morocco in particular, may also have significant deposits of oil shale.

GSGI recognizes two very important developments.

First, shale is going to change the energy sourcing mix significantly. (As game-changers go, this one is huge). Second, it may just be the most significant opportunity for the export of American hydrocarbon technology and know-how to come along in generations.

Both of these developments are going to provide major advantages for the rest of the world - and major profits for us.

Moving forward, new oil and gas shale production will be providing considerable options for plays in exploration and production (E&P) companies, as well as in technical providers.

As subscribers to my Oil & Energy Investor advisory service very well know, I have written extensively on the shale gas moves in both the United States and Canada.

Yet this is hardly a North America-only play.

Shale gas is already under development in Western Europe, and plans are advancing quickly for major projects in China. However, the geology tells us that the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region may well hold more shale than any other area on Earth.

And that's what brought this Moroccan delegation to Pittsburgh to see me.

Three Keys to Shale Gas
There is no question North Africa is excited about its shale prospects. Yet several of the countries have had difficulty identifying projects.

That has led the Tunisian oil and gas authority - the Entreprise Tunisienne d'Activités Pétrolières (ETAP) - to organize a workshop devoted to unconventional gas early next year.

Only a few potential deposits of shale gas have been identified thus far in Tunisia. But on the other hand, the country has a number of tight gas reservoirs that are hard to exploit because they lack natural links leading to drilled wells. The reserves must be artificially stimulated in order for the gas to be extracted.

Tight gas - like shale gas - requires hydrofracking and horizontal drilling. Deposits have been identified in Tunisia on blocks being developed by Italian major Eni SpA (NYSE ADR: E), Austrian state company OMV AG (OTC ADR: OMVKY), Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE: PXD), and several smaller private companies.

ETAP would like to hammer out a contractual framework to organize exploration for unconventional gas. (That's the same reason the ONHYM delegation came to talk to me.) Sonatrach, the Algerian state company, is probably furthest along in the region - having already spudded test wells and identified shale gas reserves at the Belkacem Boumediene deposits.

But everybody in the region needs three things: 1) a plan; 2) access to technology; and 3) help in developing what are likely to be very large blocks.

That is where the GSGI project comes in.

Morocco Needs U.S. Help
Morocco has known about its potential shale boon for several years. ONHYM has been trying to make the most out of three shale oil deposits located near Tangiers, Timahdit, and Tarfaya.

The junior San Leon Energy PLC (OTC: SLGYF), owned by Irish businessman Oisin Fanning, holds rights on Tarfaya, while Brazilian major Petrobras Energia Participaciones SA (NYSE ADR: PZE) is exploring the Timahdit deposit. But no significant work has yet been carried out on the two permits (although San Leon is moving ahead with an oil shale test plant that should be operational next year).

Despite the lack of early success, there are good reasons why these companies are continuing the effort. The two deposits are potentially huge - with Timahdit believed to hold some 15 billion barrels and Tarfaya almost 22 billion barrels.

GSGI also has come along at a good time for the Moroccan government.

You see, the government is showing some impatience in moving forward with all of this. That has led to movement with unusual partners.

In late May, Energy Minister Amina Benkhadra signed a memorandum of understanding with the Estonian state-owned company Eesti Energia (also called Enefit) to exploit Morocco's own shale oil potential. Enefit at one time was the world's largest producer of oil shale, benefiting from several deposits in Estonia. It also has developed a technology to produce electricity from oil shale.

Yet Enefit is not large enough to make the difference Morocco needs.

So ONHYM has come to the United States in search of assistance and a better fit in joint venture partners. The DOS is now hard at work facilitating that attempt, meaning it should hold significant promise for both Moroccan and U.S. companies.

I have agreed to provide help to ONHYM as they design their plan and regulations. That means when developments really start moving, I'll be in the perfect position to fill you in.

[Editor's Note: Dr. Kent Moors, a regular contributor to Money Morning, is the editor of "The Oil & Energy Investor," a newsletter for individual investors. In a career that spans 31 years, Dr. Moors has been consulting the energy industry's biggest players, including six of the world's Top 10 oil companies and the leading natural gas producers throughout Russia, the Caspian Basin, the Persian Gulf and North Africa.

As the preceding interview so clearly illustrates, Dr. Moors' experiences - as well as the unrivaled industry access, contacts and insights he possesses - are the backbone of the Energy Advantage, an energy-sector advisory service that enables investors to capitalize on his contacts and his global-energy-sector insights. For more information on that service, please click here.]

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